Archive for June 4th, 2009

Forex Fundamental Analysis – Prices Do not Move in Line With the Facts!

How many traders trade breaking news stories and believe the above? Loads and they are all going to lose. If you are using forex fundamental analysis you can but you must be aware of one key fact and bourgeois it in to your forex trading strategy and its this…

Forex Fundamentals don’t move to the facts – they move to how investors perceive the fasts and this means trying to trade breaking news is doomed to failure.

This is obvious if you look at the past fact:

Markets rally when there most bearish and crash when there most bullish. We all have the same facts to look at but you me and millions of other traders draw our own conclusions from these facts.

We all have them now at the click of a mouse and institutional investors have no advantage, as they did in years gone by.

So how do you trade the fundamentals?

You can trade them and here you have to comprehend and humans behave and think.

Human psychology on the whole is ruled by greed and fear and they will always near prices to far up or down, in relation to these emotions, prices then break, return to clean value and then the same pattern repeats again and again.

This is obvious from any forex chart and short term price spikes never last.

Most savvy traders look at the huge long term fundamentals that drive price and then use technical indicators to detect overbought and oversold levels to enter trading positions and take profits.

This is an effective way of trading as the long term fundamentals in forex markets last for months or even years. The reason for this is the currency reflects the underlying economic cycle of the country they represent and these cycles last for months and years.

You can of course just use forex charts, as they take into statement the fundamentals as well.

All they adopt is that all known fundamentals will show up in price action and they also measure psychology as well, as human activity shows up in repetitive price patterns on the chart.

For most forex traders using forex charts is time efficient and means you trade the reality as it is with no guessing and you are seeing all the facts and more importantly, what investors think of them right before your eyes.

So don’t be tempted to trade breaking news stories or listen to all the convincing analysis you hear from experts -there just stories and can't be traded.

Will Rogers once famously say:

” I only believe what I read in the papers”

He was joking of course but how many traders read a news story and try and trade it. So no matter how convincing the news is remember – it’s not the news itself that’s important, you need to look at human psychology.

Forex fundamentals analysis is hard on its own and doesn’t give you the whole picture, so trade the reality you see on a forex chart and you will not only see the fundamentals but how they are perceived all at the same time.

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Stocks Technical Analysis – Estimating Price Trends Using Technical Analysis Of Stocks

For any normal person, trade is nothing more than the give and take of products or services within an concurred fixed price. for instance if you have bought a package of candy for $ 2, that is trade. You bought a $ 45000 four-door sedan, then thats trade . You bought a $ 4.5 million home, and that also is trade. once you have bought the good or product from the seller for what ever price you have set the deal, that is trade and then the deal if finished.


But for traders on various deals, trade is a priority consideration. They have invested lots of money in an attempt to generate greater profits later. In exchange for goods and different titles with different operators from various deals, they hope that they could reach an enormous profit and oppose their careers until their trading accounts either increase or dehydration.


In addition, for the various governments of the nation , trade is a blessing which everyone should feel grateful . The country’s economy is heavily dependent on how the international and local operations in the market perform . a trade is declared successful if only it can translate to an increase of GDP( gross domestic product), that’s the indicators of a nations thriving economy. Successful businesses also reflect additional jobs, help the unemployed to have to work and acquire for their families.


Trade can be a blessing for the various operators (people engaged in the negotiation of stocks) and the various companies which issue securities to the people to raise extra revenue. when the stock value goes up , the owners of that bulk will get profits when they trade them then.. On the other hand, stocks of companies that is owned by common people are also guaranteed to high profits since the value of stocks on the market are now greater than it was when they were first released. both sides benefit from the trading of securities in various exchanges.


However, if a business man or any trader reaches you to offer his stocks, it does not mean that the agreement is done. when you purchase a home or costly item, you need to first look into the market and then decide base on that information whether it would be cost effective to have an agreement or not this particular time. this is defined as technical analysis.


Technical analysis is in finance and investments is the study of an quality or country (in this case, security is the product) price action (change of prices the quantity and open interest) in the market to predict profitable price movements. It generally uses different cards from both the past and present of price fluctuations in order to arrive at a price well-established trend. Such price trends will help you decide if could take advantage when you trade a particular stock at that time or not.


Stocks trading are still profitable, he comprehends the risks that can endanger your investment. By using technical analysis in the business of your actions, you could eliminate the risks in your investment.

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